Republicans No Longer Have the Advantage in 3 Key Battleground States

The Republican White House ticket reportedly no longer has the advantage in three key battleground states that could decide the 2024 presidential election.

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report published an amended analysis of the presidential race on Thursday, Aug. 8, stating that Arizona, Nevada and Georgia have been re-categorized as “toss up” states after previously being thought of as “leans Republican.”

The three Sun Belt states carry a combined total of 33 Electoral College votes that are considered Donald Trump and J.D. Vance‘s most likely path to victory in November.

: U.S. Republican Presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks to attendees during his campaign rally at the Bojangles Coliseum on July 24, 2024 in Charlotte, North Carolina. The rally is the former president's first since President Joe Biden announced he would be ending his reelection bid.
Donald Trump.Brandon Bell/Getty

Cook Political Report Editor-in-Chief Amy Walter credited the recent shift in polling averages with changing her battleground forecast, as the new Democratic White House Ticket continues to build momentum after the selection of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as Kamala Harris‘ running mate.

“Things look a lot better for Democrats today than they did a few weeks ago, but Trump is looking stronger now than he did in 2020,” Walter said, according to Newsweek. “This is a toss up.”

Kamala Harris and Tim Walz
Kamala Harris and Tim Walz appear for the first time as 2024 running mates during a Philadelphia campaign rally on Aug. 6, 2024.BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty

According to Cook Political Report’s current projections, all six of the main swing states are now considered toss-ups: Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. North Carolina, which Democrats have hoped to turn competitive this year, still leans Republican on the chart.

The independent political analysis website currently has 226 electoral votes leaning toward the Democratic ticket, and 235 leaning toward Republicans. If accurate, that leaves a total of 77 Electoral College votes up for grabs.

A total of 270 votes are needed to win the presidency.

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